The Hot Corner: Plays for Wednesday, May 10th

We had a day yesterday. Model adjustments this week look solid two days in. Let's keep it going!

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Rich Hill U5.5 Ks -148

*COL tied for 5th least Ks in L30 (6.33)

*COL strikes out 22.9% vs RHP in L30 (Hill averaging 4.6 K per game)

*COL has 3 batters in the lineup who strike out over 25%.

With Pirates reeling and the Rockies going off last night, I don't see Hill being the momentum shifter

Edward Cabrera U5.5 Ks -132

*ARI allows 10th least Ks in L3 (7.33)

*ARI has only struck out 18.7% of the time vs RHP in L30

*ARI only has 2 hitters in the lineup who strike out over 25%

Dean Kramer O4.5 Ks -129

*TB allows 4th most Ks in L3 (9.33)

*TB strikes out 24.4% of the time vs RHP L30

*TB has 5 hitters in the lineup who strike out over 25% in L30

Kramer is a tough one to take but the numbers scream the over

Seth Lugo O4.5 Ks -143

*MIN strikes out 26.7% vs RHP in L30 (Lugo averages 5.2)

*Lugo consistently gets over 93 pitches and has had over 5 Ks in all but 1 start (6 total)

*MIN has 5 hitters who strike out over 25% in L30

Lugo has a solid matchup to go way over - take the juice and build the bankroll

Justin Steele U5.5 Ks -150

*STL is tied for 5th least Ks in L3 (6.33)

*STL has 1 batter in the lineup who strikes out over 25% in L30

*Has only gone over twice in 7 starts

Drinking the juice heavy - build the bankroll

Paul Goldschmidt / Juan Soto 1+ hit each +119

*Goldschmidt has hit well vs Steele & hits far better against LHP

*Soto has hit well vs Lopez & hits far better vs RHP

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