The Hot Corner: Plays for Sunday, June 4th
These last few days have not been our week. Back to the lab we go!
Taj Bradley O4.5 Ks -136
*BOS strikes out 23.3% vs RHP in L30
*BOS averages 7.67 Ks in L3
*4 strike out targets in the lineup
This is a gut play as the analytics don't scream over but his performance this season makes me feel that 4.5 is too low even against a lineup that doesn't strike out a ton.
Ranger Suarez U4.5 Ks / Yusei Kikuchi U5.5 Ks +177
*WAS strikes out 20.7% vs LHP & NYM strikes out 15.4% vs LHP
*In L3, WAS averages 5.67 Ks & NYM averages 6.33
*3 targets in the lineup / 1 target in the lineup
Taking two juiced unders in very tough matchups, let's get creative!
Kyle Freeland O4.5 Ks +124
*KC strikes out 23.4 % vs RHP in L30
*KC averages 9.33 Ks in L3
*7 strike out targets in today's lineup
Freeland gets to 5+ innings consistently and along with 7 strike out targets in the lineup this looks like the best value of the day.
Ben Lively O4.5 Ks -124
*MIL averages 10 Ks in L3
*MIL strikes out 26% vs RHP in L30
*4 strike out targets in the lineup
Lively has been dominant as of late - I like that to continue against this lineup.
Tyler Wells O5.5 Ks -126
*SF strikes out 4th most in L3 (10.67)
*SF strikes out 24.8% vs RHP in L30
*4 strike out targets in lineup
Wells should deal vs this lineup.
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