NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2021
Thanks for your patience, we now have the entire Week 8 slate up and live. Tail at your own risk, and let us know how we did. Follow the crew on the Bird App: Alex, Dwa, Shood, Ty. Good luck and let’s make some money!
Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7
Green Bay Packers (6-1, 6-1 ATS, 2-5 O/U) at Arizona Cardinals (7-0, 6-1 ATS, 3-4 O/U)
Line: ARI -6.5 | Total: O/U 50.5
Actual: GB 24-21
Pick: Marcedes Lewis O16.5 Rec Yards -114 1.14U (Alex)
Lewis has hit the over 3 straight games and it will be 4 after tonight. Davante Adams and Allen Lazard have been ruled out due to COVID related reasons. He has had 2, 2, and 3 targets in last 3 weeks and should top out at 4-5 Thursday. - Alex
Carolina Panthers (3-4, 3-4 ATS, 2-5 O/U) at Atlanta Falcons (3-3, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U)
Line: ATL -2.5 | Total: O/U 46.5
Actual: CAR 19-13
Pick: ATL -2.5 LEAN (Ty)
I lean Atlanta here as they’ve been hot and they’re at home, but this could easily be Carolina’s lick back game too. I took Atlanta in my spread pool, so I’ll throw it up here as a lean. - Ty
Miami Dolphins (1-6, 2-5 ATS, 4-3 O/U) at Buffalo Bills (4-2, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U)
Line: BUF -15 | Total: O/U 48.5
Actual: BUF 26-11
Pick: U 48.5 1 Unit (Ty), Myles Gaskins O 35.5 1 Unit (Dwa)
Love the under here. Feel like it’s gonna be a strugglefest and maybe a bad Josh Allen game which will help that. Since I have sense I wouldn’t dare put any stock in Miami to pull the upset but they can work to keep the total under for ya boy. - Ty
San Francisco 49ers (2-4, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 O/U) at Chicago Bears (3-4, 3-4 ATS, 1-6 O/U)
Line: SF -4.5 | Total: O/U 40
Actual: SF 33-22
Pick: CHI +4.5 1 Unit (Ty)
DA BEARS are my sneaky link. I have no rhyme or reason for this pick just trust me BRO. Chicago spread let’s ride! - Ty
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-3, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U) at Cleveland Browns (4-3, 4-3 ATS, 4-3 O/U)
Line: CLE -5 | Total: O/U 43
Actual: PIT 15-10
Pick: NO PICK
I don’t like good things happening to the Steelers and I think Ben is a bozo. But taking Cleveland is going to be too pricey so no pick here. - Ty
Philadelphia Eagles (2-5, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U) at Detroit Lions (0-7, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U)
Line: PHI -3 | Total: O/U 48
Actual: PHI 44-6
Pick: NO PICK
If you’ve been following along you know I have a soft spot for the Lions. I’ll lean Detroit getting their first dub this week and maybe take a look at grabbing the ML during the game if they can get off to a good start. - Ty
Los Angeles Rams (6-1, 4-3 ATS, 4-2-1 O/U) at Houston Texans (1-6, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U)
Line: LAR -16.5 | Total: O/U 47
Actual: LAR 38-22
Pick: NO PICK
Rooting for the Texans but there’s nothing to take here, Rams ML is too pricey and the spread is a prayer. Texans haven’t shown anything worth having faith they’ll cover. Sending thoughts and prayers to Houston but that’s about it. - Ty
Tennessee Titans (5-2, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U) at Indianapolis Colts (3-4, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U)
Line: IND -3 | Total: O/U 51
Actual: TEN 34-31
Pick: NO PICK
I don’t have a gauge whatsoever for this game besides if you wanted to take the over. Indy does seem like they may be catching fire but this isn’t the game I wanna jump on the bandwagon for. Just enjoy the vibes or take some props on Henry and Taylor. - Ty
Cincinnati Bengals (5-2, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U) at New York Jets (1-5, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 O/U)
Line: CIN -11.5 | Total: O/U 43
Actual: NYJ 34-31
Pick: NYJ ML LEAN (Ty)
I HAVE FAITH IN THE JETTLES. It’s a lean, I’ll be looking at some live action here but I believe in the Zach Wilson-less Jets to shock the world. - Ty
New England Patriots (3-4, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2, 4-2 ATS, 1-4-1 O/U)
Line: LAC -3.5 | Total: O/U 50.5
Actual: NE 27-24
Pick: Mike Williams Anytime TD 1 Unit (Ty)
Not sure how to gauge this match in terms of the game. The Chargers have had some let down performances of late and the Pats - and Mac especially - have been impressive recently. I’ll play it safe with Mike Williams anytime TD. - Ty
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U) at Seattle Seahawks (2-5, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U)
Line: SEA -4 | Total: O/U 44.5
Actual: SEA 31-7
Pick: JAX +4 0.5 Units, Trevor Lawrence O 1.5 Passing TD 0.5 Units (Ty)
I like the Jags here, and no not because I think Geno is a fade play. Trevor Lawrence has been settling in well and this is a sneaky lil offense that can put up points. Jags +4 is a play and I’m going to go back to the Trevor Lawrence O 1.5 passing touchdowns prop cause it has to hit one of these days! - Ty
Washington Football Team (2-5, 1-6 ATS, 4-3 O/U) at Denver Broncos (3-4, 3-4 ATS, 2-5 O/U)
Line: DEN -4 | Total: O/U 44
Actual: DEN 17-10
Pick: WAS +4 0.5 Units (Ty)
This makes no sense and it probably won’t hit but my Spidey Senses say Washington pulls it out here. I also think this could be a game Teddy Two Gloves is methodically dinking and dunking all day long but Taylor Heineken wouldn’t dare let me down. - Ty
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-1, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U) at New Orleans Saints (4-2, 3-3 ATS, 2-4 O/U)
Line: TB -4 | Total: O/U 48.5
Actual: NO 36-27
Pick: Mike Evans Anytime TD 1 Unit (Ty)
The only games the Bucs have covered so far have been the double digit spread games. This is not one of those games. Plus there’s the whole Jameis facing the Bucs in his first game as a starter. I like the over and I like us to get the dub but I’m not touching this outside of MIke anytime TD, something you could go with every week - so what they have Lattimore. - Ty
Dallas Cowboys (5-1, 6-0 ATS, 5-1 O/U) at Minnesota Vikings (3-3, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U)
Line: MIN -2.5 | Total: O/U 52
Actual: DAL 20-16
Pick: MIN -2.5 1.5 Units, KJ Osborn O 34.5 Receiving 0.5 Units (Ty)
This is the day Dallas gets their first ATS loss. I’ve seen the light, Kirk Cousins is elite. I’m sorry I ever doubted him, also whatever Kirk says about the vax is true. - Ty
New York Giants (2-5, 3-4 ATS, 3-3-1 O/U) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-4, 2-5 ATS, 4-2-1 O/U)
Line: KC -10 | Total: O/U 52
Actual: KC 20-17
Pick: Darrel Williams O16.5 Rec Yards -114 1.14U (Alex), Evan Engram O32.5 Rec Yards -114 1.14U (Alex), KC -3.5 1Q +100 2.5 U, Mahomes Anytime TD +290 LEAN (Ty)
I have slept on it and I still don't trust the Chiefs to cover the full game, nor am I ballsy enough to take the Giants on the road. Since I’m down 3.5 U - thanks Minnesota - hitting KC 1Q can end my week only down a unit. The Mahomes anytime is just if you’re looking to have a lil fun. - Ty
I apologize for my absence this week (Halloween hangover lol). I got two plays for MNF. Darrell Williams has filled in nicely for CEH. Williams has hit the over on yards in the last 3 (2 of which he started). With his snap percentage and role in this offense he should be able to get this with his current target share. Evan Engram (yes I know) over yards has hit in 2 of 3 and the Giants are without Golladay and Barkley. Engram should get his fair share of targets and cash against a soft KC secondary. - Alex